Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's Middle East diplomatic efforts by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Time Magazine•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Trump•Gaza•Hamas attack•West Bank•Israel•Mike Huckabee
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Official peace agreements or diplomatic announcements
Story
Trump Says He Doesn't Trust Netanyahu, Vows to End Gaza War After Hamas Massacre
Dec 12, 2024, 05:13 PM
President-elect Donald Trump, in a recent interview with Time Magazine, stated that he does not trust Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or anyone else. Trump emphasized his intention to end the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza during his second term, aiming for a lasting peace. He expressed openness to various solutions, including a two-state approach or other alternatives, while acknowledging the challenges of achieving peace. Trump also referenced the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack that killed over 1,000 people, calling it a tragic day and underscoring the need to prevent similar events in the future. Additionally, Trump hinted at potentially reversing his previous stance on West Bank annexation, a policy he had halted during his first term. His pick for U.S. ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, has expressed support for Israeli settlements and annexation, aligning with a more hardline approach to the region.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to further peace agreements • 25%
Increases tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Unpredictable outcomes • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Focus on Iran • 25%
Focus on Syria • 25%
Focus on Israel-Palestine conflict • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Military aid to Israel • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Complete Resolution • 25%
Partial Resolution • 25%
No Progress • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Israel-Palestine peace process • 25%
Iran nuclear deal • 25%
Normalization with Arab states • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations with no agreement • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Rejected by Russia • 25%
Accepted by Russia and Ukraine • 25%
No proposal made • 25%
Rejected by Ukraine • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Introduces new initiatives • 25%
Reduces involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continues current strategy • 25%