Market
What will be Trump's first major foreign policy decision in the Middle East by April 30, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Ukraine•Middle East•World War III•Make America Great Again•Washington DC•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic initiative • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No major action • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or coverage by major news outlets
Story
Trump Pledges to End Ukraine War and Prevent World War III at MAGA Rally, Plans Call With Putin
Jan 20, 2025, 04:42 AM
Donald Trump, set to be inaugurated as the U.S. president, has pledged to end the war in Ukraine, stop the chaos in the Middle East, and prevent World War III from occurring. He made these statements at a Make America Great Again (MAGA) Victory Rally in Washington DC, emphasizing the urgency of these issues by stating that the world is closer to World War III than many realize. Trump has also instructed his aides to arrange a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin within days of his inauguration, with the goal of setting up a face-to-face meeting in the coming months to discuss ending the conflict in Ukraine.
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Climate change accord • 25%
Other • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Focus on Israel-Palestine conflict • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Focus on Syria • 25%
Focus on Iran • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Initiative • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Security and defense • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Diplomatic relations • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Ukraine conflict resolution • 25%
Other diplomatic initiative • 25%
China-US trade negotiations • 25%
Middle East peace talks • 25%
China • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Reduction of military support to Ukraine • 25%
Other diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Europe and NATO • 25%
Asia-Pacific • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Latin America • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
China • 25%
Trade agreements • 25%
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Middle East peace process • 25%
Other • 25%