Market
Will North Korea increase its uranium enrichment capacity in 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international watchdogs or credible media outlets
Story
Kim Jong Un Inspects Uranium Enrichment Facility, Declares 2025 Crucial for Nuclear Arsenal Amid Trump's Denuclearization Push
Jan 29, 2025, 03:14 AM
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has inspected a nuclear-material production base and a nuclear weapons institute, likely including a uranium enrichment facility, emphasizing the need to strengthen the country's nuclear capabilities. Kim's visit, reported by state media, comes as the North aims to increase pressure on the United States following President Donald Trump's inauguration. Kim stated that the production of nuclear material last year was 'amazing' and stressed the importance of exceeding this year's production goals to bolster the 'nuclear shield of the country.' He highlighted the necessity of enhancing the nuclear counteraction posture in response to challenges from 'hostile forces,' likely referring to the U.S. and South Korea, and declared 2025 as a 'crucial year' for advancing the nuclear arsenal. Meanwhile, the White House has affirmed that Trump will pursue the complete denuclearization of North Korea, as he did during his first term, despite Kim's recent actions and statements.
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Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased capacity • 25%
Decreased capacity • 25%
No change • 25%
Unknown • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Between 20% and 60% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
Not publicly disclosed • 25%
Below 20% • 25%