Market
What will be the change in North Korea's arms production capacity by December 31, 2025?
2
North Korea•Russia•Wall Street Journal•Pyongyang•Russian•Koksan•Andrii Kovalenko•Ukraine•Center for Countering Disinformation
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased capacity • 25%
Decreased capacity • 25%
No change • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Reports from international defense analysis and intelligence agencies
Story
North Korea Sends 20,000 Containers of Arms to Russia, 60% of Shells in Ukraine War
Dec 23, 2024, 10:18 AM
North Korea has intensified its arms shipments to Russia, supplying both older ammunition and advanced weapons such as ballistic missiles and rocket launchers, according to the Wall Street Journal. This escalation in military cooperation comes as Pyongyang ramps up its weapons production to full capacity with Russian technical assistance. In return, North Korea is receiving much-needed cash and oil from Russia. Satellite imagery analyzed by the Wall Street Journal indicates that North Korea is preparing to send more arms to Russia, on top of the approximately 20,000 containers already shipped. The arms supplied include 122mm and 152mm artillery shells, Hwasong-11 missiles, 170mm Koksan howitzers, and 240mm multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS). Andrii Kovalenko, head of Ukraine's Center for Countering Disinformation, stated that 60% of the artillery and mortar shells used by Russia in Ukraine now come from North Korea.
View original story
Similar markets
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Missile technology • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
Conventional forces • 25%
Other • 25%
New Missile Technology • 25%
Enhanced Cyber Warfare • 25%
Improved Conventional Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease in Support • 25%
No Change • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Increase in Support • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Missile launch • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by up to 20% • 25%
Increase by more than 20% • 25%
Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhances missile accuracy • 25%
No significant advancements • 25%
Develops operational hypersonic missile • 25%
Improves missile range significantly • 25%
No significant improvement • 25%
Missile technology improvement • 25%
Cyber warfare capabilities • 25%
Ground force enhancement • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
No major development • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%