Will Iran achieve military-grade uranium enrichment by June 30, 2025?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
IAEA reports or official statements confirming military-grade enrichment
IAEA Chief Grossi: Iran Nears Military Uranium Enrichment, 2015 Nuclear Deal Obsolete, New Agreement Needed
Dec 17, 2024, 02:06 PM
Rafael Grossi, the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), stated that the 2015 nuclear agreement with Iran is no longer applicable due to significant advancements in Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities. Grossi warned that Iran is nearing military-level uranium enrichment, which could enable the country to develop nuclear weapons. He emphasized the necessity for a new agreement that reflects the current realities of Iran's nuclear program. Various reports indicate that Iran's progress in nuclear technology is accelerating, raising concerns about potential military applications. The IAEA has called for international cooperation to address these developments, as Iran approaches the threshold of becoming a nuclear-armed state.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Progress accelerated • 25%
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Progress slowed • 25%
Progress unchanged • 25%