Market
How will North Korea's nuclear program change by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased nuclear capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduced capabilities • 25%
Program dismantled • 25%
Reports from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or other credible intelligence sources
Story
NATO Warns of Russian Nuclear Tech Transfer to North Korea in Exchange for Troops
Dec 4, 2024, 11:24 AM
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has raised alarms over the transfer of Russian nuclear and missile technology to North Korea, warning of potential threats to international security. Rutte stated that Russia is supporting North Korea's nuclear and ballistic missile programs in exchange for military assistance, including troops, in its ongoing conflict with Ukraine. This exchange, according to Rutte, signifies a concerning development in the geopolitical landscape, highlighting the need for vigilance in international security.
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Significant slowdown • 25%
Accelerated development • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Increased capacity • 25%
Decreased capacity • 25%
No change • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Increase enrichment levels • 25%
Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
More Diplomatic • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
More Aggressive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Resumption of testing • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Decreased sanctions • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in enrichment activities • 25%
Full compliance with international demands • 25%
Decrease in enrichment activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%