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What will be the outcome of Trump's denuclearization efforts with North Korea in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Official statements from the White House or North Korean state media
Story
Kim Jong Un Inspects Uranium Enrichment Facility, Declares 2025 Crucial for Nuclear Arsenal Amid Trump's Denuclearization Push
Jan 29, 2025, 03:14 AM
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has inspected a nuclear-material production base and a nuclear weapons institute, likely including a uranium enrichment facility, emphasizing the need to strengthen the country's nuclear capabilities. Kim's visit, reported by state media, comes as the North aims to increase pressure on the United States following President Donald Trump's inauguration. Kim stated that the production of nuclear material last year was 'amazing' and stressed the importance of exceeding this year's production goals to bolster the 'nuclear shield of the country.' He highlighted the necessity of enhancing the nuclear counteraction posture in response to challenges from 'hostile forces,' likely referring to the U.S. and South Korea, and declared 2025 as a 'crucial year' for advancing the nuclear arsenal. Meanwhile, the White House has affirmed that Trump will pursue the complete denuclearization of North Korea, as he did during his first term, despite Kim's recent actions and statements.
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Other Outcome • 25%
Small Deal on Nuclear Program • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Complete Denuclearization Agreement • 25%
Denuclearization agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Economic sanctions lifted • 25%
Denuclearization agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
Denuclearization Agreement • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Denuclearization talks progress • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Economic cooperation agreement • 25%
No significant agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Denuclearization agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue talks • 25%
Full disarmament agreement • 25%
Partial disarmament agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Talks continue without resolution • 25%