Market
Will NATO directly participate in the Azerbaijan Airlines crash investigation by Q1 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official NATO statements or press releases
Story
NATO Demands Full Probe of Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer Crash Killing 38 in Kazakhstan
Dec 26, 2024, 01:49 PM
NATO has called for a full investigation into the crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer plane in Kazakhstan that resulted in the deaths of 38 people. The incident occurred near the city of Aktau on Wednesday, after the plane deviated from its intended route over Russia. NATO's call for a thorough probe was articulated by spokesperson Farah Dakhlallah, who expressed condolences to the victims' families and wished for a speedy recovery for the injured. The cause of the crash remains unknown, with the Kazakh Senate chairman stating that none of the involved countries—Azerbaijan, Russia, or Kazakhstan—have an interest in concealing information.
View original story
Similar markets
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
Russia Involvement Confirmed • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
UN involvement • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
Other international bodies • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Joint task force • 25%
International aviation authority • 25%
Russian government • 25%
Azerbaijan government • 25%
No action • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia • 25%
Multiple countries including international bodies • 25%
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and another country • 25%
Only Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 33%
Yes • 33%
Partial agreement • 34%