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What level of international involvement will there be in the investigation of the Azerbaijan Airlines plane incident by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
Other international bodies • 25%
Reports from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
Azerbaijan Says Russia to Punish Those Who Shot Down Plane in Kazakhstan, Killing 38
Dec 30, 2024, 11:23 AM
Azerbaijan announced that Russia has promised to identify and punish those responsible for the downing of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane. The aircraft, which crashed on December 25 in Kazakhstan, was allegedly shot at by Russian air defenses before crash landing. President Ilham Aliyev claims that the plane was mistakenly targeted by Russian air defenses. The incident resulted in the deaths of 38 people. Azerbaijan's General Prosecutor stated that Moscow has committed to finding and holding accountable those involved in the crash.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russian military fault • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
No action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Joint investigation • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Only Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan • 25%
Multiple countries including international bodies • 25%
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia • 25%
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and another country • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Azerbaijan • 25%