Market
Outcome of NATO investigation into Azerbaijan Airlines crash by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia Involvement Confirmed • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
Mechanical Failure • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
NATO official reports or public statements
Story
NATO Calls for Investigation into Azerbaijan Airlines Crash in Kazakhstan That Killed 38, Carrying 67 People on Board
Dec 26, 2024, 02:26 PM
NATO has called for a full investigation into the crash of an Azerbaijan Airlines passenger plane near Aktau, Kazakhstan, which resulted in the deaths of 38 people. The flight was carrying 67 individuals from Baku to Grozny when it went down on Wednesday morning. Amid rising suspicions regarding the involvement of Russian air defenses in the incident, NATO emphasized the need for a thorough inquiry to avoid speculation. The organization has urged for clarity on the circumstances surrounding the crash, reflecting growing concerns about aviation safety in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
External Attack • 25%
Technical Failure • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russian military fault • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Russian military personnel • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Azerbaijani claims disproven • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Missile strike confirmed • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Sabotage • 25%