Market
Will Kazakhstan, Russia, and Azerbaijan reach a joint conclusion in the AZAL crash investigation by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 33%
No • 33%
Partial agreement • 34%
Joint statements or reports from Kazakhstan, Russia, and Azerbaijan
Story
Russia Ready to Cooperate With Kazakhstan in AZAL Plane Crash Investigation Near Aktau
Dec 27, 2024, 11:18 AM
Russia has expressed its readiness to cooperate with Kazakhstan in the investigation of a recent plane crash involving an Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) plane near Aktau, Kazakhstan, according to the Russian civil aviation regulator. The head of Rosaviatsia, Dmitry Yadrov, stated that Russia will provide comprehensive support to both Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan in the investigation of the incident.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Dispute Russia's findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support Russia's findings • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Russian military fault • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Other • 25%
External Attack • 25%
Technical Failure • 25%
Pilot Error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No individuals identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Identified individuals but no legal action • 25%
Identified individuals and legal action taken • 25%