Market
Outcome of U.S.-China talks on cybersecurity breach by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Official statements from U.S. Department of State or Chinese government
Story
Chinese Hackers Exploit U.S. Telecom Networks in Sweeping Cybersecurity Breach, Geolocate Millions of Americans and Record Calls
Dec 28, 2024, 12:44 PM
Chinese hackers have reportedly exploited vulnerabilities in U.S. telecommunications networks to geolocate millions of Americans and record their phone calls. This breach has raised concerns regarding cybersecurity and the potential misuse of sensitive personal information. Reports indicate that the hackers gained access through broad telco access, allowing them to track individuals and listen to conversations at will. Notably, it has been emphasized that Chinese vendors did not provide any cell sites in the United States, highlighting the distinction between technical vulnerabilities and vendor trust.
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Resolution Reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
New international agreement • 25%
Strengthened existing protocols • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant progress • 25%