Market
Will Arbel Yehoud be released by January 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Israeli authorities or verified news reports
Story
Islamic Jihad's Al-Quds Brigades Release Proof-of-Life Video of Hostage Arbel Yehoud Filmed January 25
Jan 27, 2025, 06:46 PM
The Palestinian Islamic Jihad's military wing, the Al-Quds Brigades, has released a proof-of-life video of Israeli hostage Arbel Yehoud, who is expected to be released on Thursday. The video, reportedly filmed on January 25, shows Yehoud reading from a script, stating, 'I am fine and hope to return to you soon.' The release of the video comes amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations and hostage exchanges between Israel and militant groups in Gaza. Israeli authorities have requested that the video not be shared until her family consents. The Hostages and Missing Families Forum Headquarters also urged the public not to publish the video or images.
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Similar markets
Release delayed beyond January 31 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Released by January 31 • 25%
No release and negotiations fail • 25%
Palestinian Islamic Jihad • 25%
Hamas • 25%
No group claims responsibility • 25%
Other group • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Released by February 2025 • 25%
Not released by February 2025 • 25%
No further information • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Proof of life provided but not released • 25%
Released • 25%
Remains captive • 25%
Status unknown • 25%