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Will a ceasefire agreement be reached by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Israeli or Palestinian authorities or verified news reports
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Islamic Jihad's Al-Quds Brigades Release Proof-of-Life Video of Hostage Arbel Yehoud Filmed January 25
Jan 27, 2025, 06:46 PM
The Palestinian Islamic Jihad's military wing, the Al-Quds Brigades, has released a proof-of-life video of Israeli hostage Arbel Yehoud, who is expected to be released on Thursday. The video, reportedly filmed on January 25, shows Yehoud reading from a script, stating, 'I am fine and hope to return to you soon.' The release of the video comes amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations and hostage exchanges between Israel and militant groups in Gaza. Israeli authorities have requested that the video not be shared until her family consents. The Hostages and Missing Families Forum Headquarters also urged the public not to publish the video or images.
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Full withdrawal agreement • 25%
No new agreement • 25%
Ceasefire extension agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
