Market
Which country will lead the nuclear arms reduction talks by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Russia•China•World Economic Forum•Davos•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Chinese•Xi Jinping•Xi•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. • 33%
Russia • 33%
China • 33%
Reports from credible news organizations or official statements from involved governments
Story
Trump Proposes Nuclear Arms Reduction Talks With Russia and China at Davos, After Call From Xi
Jan 23, 2025, 05:27 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed his intention to engage in nuclear arms reduction talks with Russia and China during his address at the World Economic Forum in Davos via video. He highlighted the significant financial expenditure on nuclear weapons and their destructive capabilities, emphasizing the need for denuclearization. Trump mentioned that during his first term, Russian President Vladimir Putin was receptive to the idea of significantly reducing nuclear arsenals. He also indicated that China could be involved in these discussions, suggesting that such an agreement would be beneficial for the planet. Additionally, Trump discussed his recent conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping, noting that Xi called him and expressing optimism about the future U.S.-China relationship. He also mentioned his hope that China could help end the ongoing war in Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No progress made • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Preliminary framework established • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
US and Russia only • 25%
No new treaty • 25%
US and China only • 25%
US, Russia, China • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial disarmament agreement • 25%
Agreement to continue talks • 25%
Full disarmament agreement • 25%
Minor reduction (<25%) • 25%
No reduction agreed • 25%
Significant reduction (>50%) • 25%
Moderate reduction (25-50%) • 25%
