Market
Participants in a new nuclear arms reduction treaty by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
US, Russia, China • 25%
US and Russia only • 25%
US and China only • 25%
No new treaty • 25%
Official treaty documents or announcements
Story
At Davos, Trump Says Putin Supports Nuclear Arms Reduction with U.S. and China
Jan 23, 2025, 05:04 PM
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump announced that the United States is interested in reducing its nuclear arsenals in collaboration with Russia and China. He stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin "really liked the idea of cutting way back on nuclear" weapons and that denuclearization is "very possible." Emphasizing a commitment to global nuclear disarmament, Trump believes that working together with Russia and China could lead to significant reductions in nuclear arsenals.
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Russia • 33%
China • 33%
U.S. • 33%
Agreement reached • 33%
Talks held but no agreement • 33%
No talks held • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Moderate reduction • 25%
Minimal reduction • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
No reduction • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Agreement to reduce arsenals • 25%