Market
Outcome of US-Russia-China nuclear arms reduction talks by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Preliminary framework established • 25%
Discussions ongoing • 25%
No progress made • 25%
Official agreements or statements from the involved countries
Story
At Davos, Trump Says Putin Supports Nuclear Arms Reduction with U.S. and China
Jan 23, 2025, 05:04 PM
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump announced that the United States is interested in reducing its nuclear arsenals in collaboration with Russia and China. He stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin "really liked the idea of cutting way back on nuclear" weapons and that denuclearization is "very possible." Emphasizing a commitment to global nuclear disarmament, Trump believes that working together with Russia and China could lead to significant reductions in nuclear arsenals.
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Agreement reached • 33%
No talks held • 33%
Talks held but no agreement • 33%
Talks postponed • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement to reduce arsenals • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal reduction • 25%
No reduction • 25%
Moderate reduction • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
U.S. • 33%
Russia • 33%
China • 33%
Agreement to continue talks • 25%
Partial disarmament agreement • 25%
Full disarmament agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Both agreements • 25%
Agreement on nuclear arms reduction • 25%
Agreement on Ukraine conflict resolution • 25%
No agreements • 25%