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Level of nuclear arsenal reduction agreed by US, Russia, and China by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction (>50%) • 25%
Moderate reduction (25-50%) • 25%
Minor reduction (<25%) • 25%
No reduction agreed • 25%
Details published in official agreements or statements
Story
At Davos, Trump Says Putin Supports Nuclear Arms Reduction with U.S. and China
Jan 23, 2025, 05:04 PM
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, President Donald Trump announced that the United States is interested in reducing its nuclear arsenals in collaboration with Russia and China. He stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin "really liked the idea of cutting way back on nuclear" weapons and that denuclearization is "very possible." Emphasizing a commitment to global nuclear disarmament, Trump believes that working together with Russia and China could lead to significant reductions in nuclear arsenals.
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Moderate reduction • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal reduction • 25%
No reduction • 25%
No talks held • 33%
Talks held but no agreement • 33%
Agreement reached • 33%
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Yes • 50%
U.S. • 33%
China • 33%
Russia • 33%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Talks canceled • 25%
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Agreement to reduce arsenals • 25%