Market
Will China play a diplomatic role in ending the Ukraine war by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Russia•China•World Economic Forum•Davos•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Chinese•Xi Jinping•Xi•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news organizations or official statements from involved governments
Story
Trump Proposes Nuclear Arms Reduction Talks With Russia and China at Davos, After Call From Xi
Jan 23, 2025, 05:27 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed his intention to engage in nuclear arms reduction talks with Russia and China during his address at the World Economic Forum in Davos via video. He highlighted the significant financial expenditure on nuclear weapons and their destructive capabilities, emphasizing the need for denuclearization. Trump mentioned that during his first term, Russian President Vladimir Putin was receptive to the idea of significantly reducing nuclear arsenals. He also indicated that China could be involved in these discussions, suggesting that such an agreement would be beneficial for the planet. Additionally, Trump discussed his recent conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping, noting that Xi called him and expressing optimism about the future U.S.-China relationship. He also mentioned his hope that China could help end the ongoing war in Ukraine.
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Active mediator • 25%
Supportive observer • 25%
Opposes involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Passive Support • 25%
Opposes Mediation • 25%
Active Mediation • 25%
No Involvement • 25%
Economic pressure on Russia • 25%
Military support to Russia • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Mediates peace talks • 25%
Military Support to Russia • 25%
No Active Involvement • 25%
Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Mediation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
