Market
Which countries will respond to Chinese military drills around Taiwan by March 31, 2025?
2
Taiwan•Defense Ministry•China•Japan•South China Sea•Taiwanese•William Lai•Pacific•Hsinchu•Chinese•Taiwan Strait•Chinese Foreign Ministry•Mao Ning
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
Australia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official government statements or international news reports
Story
China Launches Largest Military Drills Since 1996 Around Taiwan, Deploys 60 Warships
Dec 11, 2024, 09:03 AM
Taiwan's Defense Ministry reported that China has launched large-scale military drills around the island, involving 53 military aircraft and 19 ships, marking the largest maritime deployment since 1996. The exercises involve activities around the "first island chain" and include about 60 warships and 30 coast guard vessels deployed from areas near the southern islands of Japan to the South China Sea. Taiwan's Defense Ministry spokesperson, Major General Sun Li-fang, stated that the maneuvers pose a significant security challenge, not only to Taiwan but also to other countries in the region. The drills appear to be in response to Taiwanese President William Lai's recent visit to the Pacific. Military jets were seen taking off and landing at Hsinchu airbase in Taiwan on Tuesday in response to the increased Chinese military activity. The drills have been criticized by Taiwan's government as undermining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning stated that China will not allow "Taiwan independence" separatist forces to go out of control and will never adopt a "wait and see" approach.
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Similar markets
Economic sanctions • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Economic sanctions against China • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased air patrols • 25%