Market
What will be the state of US-China trade relations by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant event • 25%
Official trade agreements, government announcements, or reports in major international news outlets
Story
Trump Invites China's Xi to Inauguration Amid Tariff Threats; Xi Unlikely to Attend
Dec 12, 2024, 09:54 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has extended an unprecedented invitation to Chinese President Xi Jinping to attend his inauguration ceremony on January 20th. The move aims to foster open dialogue with leaders who are not just allies but adversaries and competitors too. Karoline Leavitt, Trump's incoming Press Secretary, confirmed the invitation and noted that Xi has yet to RSVP. Despite the invitation, Xi Jinping is not expected to attend and is likely to send a high-level delegation instead. Senator Blumenthal commented that it's President Trump's inaugural and he's entitled to have anyone he'd like, adding that it helps for foreign leaders to see democracy in action. The invitation comes amid tensions between the two countries, as Trump threatens to impose massive tariffs on Chinese goods.
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Similar markets
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Tariff increase • 25%
Tariff decrease • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
