Market
What change will occur in US-China trade policy under Trump in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Tariff increase • 25%
Tariff decrease • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official US government trade policy announcements or reputable news sources
Story
Xi Jinping and Trump Hold First Phone Call Since November Ahead of Inauguration
Jan 17, 2025, 01:45 PM
Chinese President Xi Jinping held a telephone conversation with US President-elect Donald Trump on Friday, according to reports from China's state news agency Xinhua and other media outlets. The phone call between the two leaders comes three days before Trump's inauguration and is their first conversation since Xi's congratulatory call in November. Details of the conversation were not immediately disclosed. Trump had previously invited Xi to attend his inauguration, but Xi declined.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other significant event • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%
Negotiations • 25%
Other Economic Measures • 25%
Tariff Retaliation • 25%
Currency Devaluation • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Technology and TikTok • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Fentanyl regulation • 25%
Trade policy • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
