Market
How will U.S.-China relations change by April 29, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Analysis from foreign policy experts, major news outlets
Story
Trump Plans China Visit Within First 100 Days to Deepen Ties with Xi Amid Tariff Tensions
Jan 19, 2025, 12:57 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed his intention to visit China within his first 100 days in office, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal. The purpose of the visit is to deepen ties with Chinese President Xi Jinping, despite tensions over Trump's threats to impose steeper tariffs on Chinese imports. Trump, who will be sworn in on Monday, previously visited Beijing in 2017 during his first term. The two leaders recently discussed trade, fentanyl, and TikTok in a phone call, indicating a willingness to address key issues between the two nations. While no final decision has been made on the trip, Trump's interest in visiting China early in his term suggests an effort to reset strained relations with Beijing.
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Similar markets
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other significant event • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%