Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's executive order on TikTok by January 31, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or TikTok's operational status
Story
Trump to Issue Executive Order Delaying TikTok Ban, Proposes 50% U.S. Ownership
Jan 19, 2025, 04:00 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the U.S. ban on TikTok, which went into effect at midnight. TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, became inaccessible to U.S. users due to the ban. Trump is urging tech companies not to let the popular video-sharing app remain inaccessible and proposes a joint venture with current or new owners, in which the United States would hold a 50% ownership stake. The executive order would extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, allowing more time for a deal that addresses national security concerns. Trump assured that companies assisting TikTok would not face liability before the order is issued.
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Order not issued • 25%
Order issued but legally blocked • 25%
Order issued and enforced • 25%
Order issued but rescinded • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
No Executive Order • 25%
Ban paused • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Restrict TikTok • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Deal for U.S. ownership • 25%
Ban extension • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban partially lifted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
Ban fully reversed • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Sell to US company • 25%
No action • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%