Market
What will be the resolution of the Ukraine conflict within Trump's first year?
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United States•Donald Trump•Ukraine•Trump•World War III•Keith Kellogg•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Putin•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
No resolution achieved • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of Ukraine and Russia, and major international news outlets
Story
Trump Pledges to End Ukraine War in 24 Hours, Claims Zelensky Seeks Peace Deal
Jan 21, 2025, 01:08 AM
On the eve of his inauguration as the 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump reiterated his intention to swiftly end the war in Ukraine. Trump has promised to resolve the conflict within a day of taking office, stating, "I will end the war in Ukraine and prevent World War III." His special envoy on Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, indicated that the sides could reach an agreement within 100 days of the start of Trump's presidency. He has instructed his aides to arrange a call with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss a potential face-to-face meeting aimed at peace negotiations. Trump also claimed that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed a willingness to "make a deal" to end the war. Putin, in turn, has stated that Russia desires a "lasting peace" in Ukraine and is open to dialogue that addresses the root causes of the conflict. Despite these developments, skepticism remains regarding Trump's ability to deliver on his promises, as the war continues beyond his inauguration day.
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Similar markets
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
War continues • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Within 1 year • 25%
Within 6 months • 25%
Not resolved within 1 year • 25%
Within 100 days • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
No change in conflict status • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Other resolution • 25%