Market
What will be Trump's approach to resolving Ukraine conflict by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Official policy announcements from the U.S. government or major news analysis
Story
Trump Prioritizes Ukraine Conflict Resolution Over Middle East
Dec 11, 2024, 10:08 AM
Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, has declared that resolving the conflict in Ukraine will be his top priority upon taking office. In an interview with Paris Match, Trump emphasized the need to address the 'Ukraine problem with Russia,' stating that while the Middle East is also a significant concern, the Ukrainian issue is more complex and thus a higher priority. Trump also mentioned that Syrians would need to resolve their own crisis, indicating a policy of non-intervention in that region.
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Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic focus • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Maintain current support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
No decision • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid reduction to Ukraine • 25%
Other strategies • 25%
Increased diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%