Market
How will the war in Ukraine be resolved under Trump's presidency by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from involved governments or international organizations
Story
On Eve of Second Inauguration, Trump Vows to End Ukraine War and Prevent World War III
Jan 19, 2025, 11:21 PM
On the eve of his inauguration for a second term, President-elect Donald Trump delivered a speech at the Capital One Arena in Washington D.C., where he pledged to end the war in Ukraine, stop the chaos in the Middle East, and prevent World War III. Addressing supporters, Trump declared, "I will end the war in Ukraine. I will stop the chaos in the Middle East. And I will prevent World War III from happening—you have no idea how close we are." He also promised to cut taxes, reduce inflation, lower prices, and raise wages, emphasizing his commitment to "build American, buy American, and hire American." Trump added, "Tomorrow the United States will become a superpower," highlighting his plans to strengthen the nation's position.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
No decision • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Not resolved within 1 year • 25%
Within 1 year • 25%
Within 100 days • 25%
Within 6 months • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%