Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's Ukraine peace efforts within 100 days of inauguration in 2025?
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Donald Trump•White House•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Trump•Kyiv•Moscow•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Western•Zelensky•NATO•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official peace agreement documents or announcements from involved parties
Story
Trump Sets 100-Day Timeline to End Ukraine War, Aims for Sustainable Peace Amid Kyiv Concerns
Jan 12, 2025, 01:00 PM
Donald Trump, set to re-enter the White House, has revised his timeline for ending the war in Ukraine from a previously stated 24 hours to within 100 days of his inauguration. This adjustment was announced by Keith Kellogg, Trump's pick for special peace envoy, who aims to broker a 'solid and sustainable' agreement by May. The change in strategy has raised concerns in Kyiv about the potential for a peace deal that might favor Moscow. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed readiness for a 'new chapter' with Trump's administration, emphasizing the need for continued cooperation and support from Western allies. Zelensky is advocating for a 'peace-through-strength' approach, seeking NATO protections and concrete security guarantees as part of any settlement. Trump's comments on understanding Russia's concerns about NATO have added complexity to the situation, as he has suggested that NATO's involvement with Ukraine was a significant issue for Russia.
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