Market
What will be the primary reason cited for TikTok ban being upheld or overturned by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
First Amendment • 25%
National Security • 25%
Economic Impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Court rulings or legal analysis
Story
Biden Administration Exempts State Department's Public Diplomacy from TikTok Ban Amid First Amendment Concerns
Jan 14, 2025, 08:55 PM
The Biden administration has introduced a loophole in the proposed TikTok ban, allowing certain U.S. State Department employees involved in public diplomacy to continue using the platform. This exemption was detailed in an internal cable signed by Secretary of State Antony Blinken, which was leaked to journalist Ken Klippenstein. The cable specifies that these employees are exempt from the ban 'regardless of any potential failure of TikTok to be divested of its foreign PRC [People’s Republic of China] ownership.' This move comes amidst ongoing legal challenges by TikTok against the ban, arguing it violates the First Amendment. The administration's decision to allow government use of TikTok for public diplomacy, while seeking to ban it for the general public, highlights a contradiction in policy, as the platform is seen as a critical tool for reaching young audiences globally.
View original story
Similar markets
Legal challenges • 25%
Economic impact considerations • 25%
National security concerns resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
National security concerns resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Public pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
First Amendment rights • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Ownership change • 25%
Security agreement • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Economic considerations • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Public pressure • 25%
Other reason • 25%
Diplomatic reasons • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%
Public Opinion • 25%
National Security • 25%
Economic Impact • 25%
Diplomatic Relations • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Other outcome • 25%