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What will be the outcome of U.S. security guarantees to Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full guarantees • 25%
Partial guarantees • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or defense agreements
Story
Zelensky Optimistic Trump's Strength Can Broker Peace Talks to End Ukraine War
Jan 7, 2025, 05:52 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed optimism that a “strong” Donald Trump could broker peace talks with Russia and end the war in Ukraine. In interviews, Zelensky stated that Trump's strength and unpredictability could be decisive in forcing Russia into negotiations. He also emphasized that security guarantees from the U.S. are crucial for any ceasefire agreement with Russia, warning that without them, Trump would be 'giving Putin a pass.' Zelensky's comments come as Trump prepares to return to the White House, with the Ukrainian leader expressing confidence that Trump will bring a quick end to the conflict.
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No security guarantees provided • 25%
Full security guarantees provided • 25%
Partial security guarantees provided • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
None • 25%
NATO • 25%
EU only • 25%
U.S. only • 25%
Aid redirected to other priorities • 25%
Aid completed successfully • 25%
Aid halted due to political changes • 25%
Aid partially completed • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Strengthened Ukraine defense • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Improved US-Europe relations • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic assurances • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Military support • 25%
Other • 25%
NATO • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%