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What will be the outcome of increased U.S. military support for Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased conflict • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official reports from the U.S. government or major news outlets like BBC, CNN, or Reuters
Story
Trump Criticizes Ukraine's U.S.-Supplied ATACMS Strike on Russia, Calls for Ceasefire Amid Escalating Tensions
Dec 13, 2024, 06:02 AM
Donald Trump has criticized Ukraine's use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles, specifically the ATACMS, to strike Russian territory, stating that such actions only escalate the conflict. In an interview with Time magazine, Trump expressed that these missile attacks worsen the situation and emphasized his willingness to mediate for a ceasefire. His comments come as the Biden administration is reportedly working to increase military support for Ukraine. In response to Ukraine's actions, Russia has vowed to retaliate, intensifying the ongoing tensions in the region.
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Maintain current level • 25%
End support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Aid partially completed • 25%
Aid completed successfully • 25%
Aid redirected to other priorities • 25%
Aid halted due to political changes • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Increased arms shipments • 25%
Training support • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Aid stopped • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Other • 25%
Full guarantees • 25%
Partial guarantees • 25%
Other • 25%
Full Deployment • 25%
Partial Deployment • 25%
No Deployment • 25%
Significant improvement in air defenses • 25%
No noticeable improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement in air defenses • 25%
Degradation of air defenses • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Reduced support • 25%
Maintained current level • 25%
Increased support • 25%
No support • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Support shifted to non-military aid • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Increased military support • 25%