Market
What will be the U.S. strategy for Middle East peace by mid-2025?
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Donald Trump•Morgan Ortagus•Middle East Peace•Steven Witkoff•Ortagus•State Department•Trump•Republican•Middle East
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues current strategy • 25%
Introduces new initiatives • 25%
Reduces involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements or policy documents from the U.S. State Department or White House
Story
Trump Names Ex-State Department Spokesperson Ortagus Deputy Middle East Envoy Despite Past Criticism
Jan 3, 2025, 09:36 PM
President-Elect Donald Trump has announced the appointment of Morgan Ortagus as Deputy Special Presidential Envoy for Middle East Peace, serving under Special Envoy Steven Witkoff. Ortagus, who previously served as the spokesperson for the State Department during Trump's first term, had been a vocal critic of Trump. In his announcement, Trump acknowledged that Ortagus had "fought me for three years," but expressed hope that she has "learned her lesson." He added, "These things usually don't work out, but she has strong Republican support, and I'm not doing this for me, I'm doing it for them. Let's see what happens." The appointment suggests a willingness by Trump to set aside personal grievances to advance Middle East peace efforts.
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Military aid to Israel • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Israel-Palestine peace process • 25%
Other • 25%
Normalization with Arab states • 25%
Iran nuclear deal • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel-Palestine peace process • 25%
Iran • 25%
Focus on Iran • 25%
Focus on Israel-Palestine conflict • 25%
Focus on Syria • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Israel and Palestine • 25%
Syria and Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Saudi Arabia and Iran • 25%
Two-state solution • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire without solution • 25%
One-state solution • 25%
No major initiative proposed • 25%
Proposed by EU • 25%
Proposed by US • 25%
Proposed by UN • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Military action • 25%
Mediator • 25%
Observer • 25%
Direct negotiator • 25%
No role • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%