Market
How will the Ukraine conflict be resolved in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports confirming the resolution
Story
Trump Says Meetings with Putin and Xi Being Arranged to End Ukraine War
Jan 10, 2025, 04:06 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced that meetings with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping are being arranged, stating that Putin wants to meet and that preparations are underway. Speaking on Thursday at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida before a meeting with Republican governors, Trump said, "He wants to meet, and we're setting it up." Trump emphasized the need to end the war in Ukraine, calling it "a bloody mess," and suggested that more people are dying than is being reported. The meetings aim to address the ongoing conflict and improve U.S.-Russia relations.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%