Market
What will be the EU's position regarding Ukraine's conflict with Russia by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Stronger support for Ukraine • 25%
Maintain current support level • 25%
Reduced support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Official EU statements or verified reports from reputable news outlets
Story
Trump May Push Ukraine for Peace Without Security Guarantees as Early as 2025, Financial Times Reports
Dec 30, 2024, 05:23 AM
As the potential for a new U.S. presidency looms, discussions surrounding the future of Ukraine's conflict with Russia have intensified. Analysts suggest that Donald Trump may advocate for a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia without providing security guarantees for Ukraine. The Financial Times reported that Trump's transactional approach and desire to avoid military conflicts could lead to the U.S. facilitating a deal that eases sanctions on Russia. This scenario could unfold as early as 2025, with experts noting that Ukraine faces a challenging decision regarding its sovereignty and security amidst ongoing aggression from Russia. The complexities of the situation have raised questions about Ukraine's ability to endure another year of war, with various opinions emerging on the necessary support from Europe and America to ensure Ukraine's resilience.
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Military deployment • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Internal EU political changes • 25%
Ukraine's domestic reforms • 25%
Russian military actions • 25%
Other geopolitical developments • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%