Market
What will be the outcome of the Trump-Putin meeting on the Ukraine war by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Official statements from the US or Russian governments or credible news sources
Story
Trump Says Putin Wants to Meet ASAP at America Fest to Discuss Ending 'Horrible, Horrible' Ukraine War
Dec 22, 2024, 08:23 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed a desire to meet with him "as soon as possible" to discuss ending the ongoing war in Ukraine. Speaking at the America Fest conference in Phoenix, Trump emphasized the urgency of the meeting, stating, "We have to end that war," and referred to the conflict as a "horrible, horrible war." He indicated that both he and Putin are looking forward to the meeting, which he believes could help facilitate a resolution to the conflict that has persisted since Russia's invasion in 2022. Trump's remarks reflect a commitment to addressing the war, highlighting the need for diplomatic engagement to achieve peace.
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Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Minor agreements reached • 25%
Significant progress towards peace • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement in principle • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Agreement on principles • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Commitment to future talks • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Agreement on further talks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%