Market
Outcome of Trump-Putin meeting on Ukraine war by March 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Official statements from the White House or Kremlin, major news outlets
Story
President-elect Trump Plans Meetings with Putin and Xi to End Ukraine War
Jan 10, 2025, 01:22 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he is arranging meetings with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss ending the war. Trump stated that Putin wants to meet and that they are setting it up. He also mentioned ongoing communications with Xi and plans for future meetings aimed at ending the Ukraine war.
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No Agreement • 25%
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
Agreement on peace talks • 25%
Agreement to continue negotiations • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Peace talks agreed • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No change • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%