Market
Outcome of Trump-Putin meeting on Ukraine war by September 30, 2025
2
Donald Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Turning Point USA•AmericaFest•Phoenix•Arizona•Trump•Putin•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Official statements from the White House, Kremlin or major news outlets
Story
Trump Open to Meeting Putin to End Ukraine War Sparked in February 2022
Dec 22, 2024, 07:26 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated his readiness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Speaking at the Turning Point USA's AmericaFest in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump mentioned that Putin expressed a desire to meet 'as soon as possible' to address the conflict, which began with Russia's invasion in February 2022. Trump described the war as 'horrible' and emphasized the urgency of ending it, stating that 'millions of soldiers have died' and that the situation is 'ridiculous.' He also reiterated his belief that the war would not have occurred if he had been president during the initial stages of the conflict.
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Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
Full Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Peace talks agreed • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Continued Negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, talks break down • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
Meeting postponed or canceled • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Continuation of conflict • 25%