Market
What will be the outcome of Richard Grenell's mission in Venezuela by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Richard Allen Grenell•Special Missions•Grenell•Germany•National Intelligence•Venezuela•North Korea•Trump•Peace through Strength•America First
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Diplomatic Relations Improved • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Relations Deteriorate • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or Venezuelan government
Story
Trump Appoints Richard Grenell as Envoy for Venezuela and North Korea Missions
Dec 15, 2024, 12:16 AM
On December 14, 2024, President Donald Trump announced that Richard Allen Grenell will serve as the Presidential Envoy for Special Missions. Grenell, who previously served as U.S. Ambassador to Germany and acting Director of National Intelligence, will handle some of the world's most dangerous places, including Venezuela and North Korea. "Ric will serve in the hottest spots around the world, including Venezuela and North Korea," Trump said. Trump added that Grenell will continue to fight for "Peace through Strength" and always put America First.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Initial agreements only • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
No progress • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Formal agreement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
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Significant improvement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mission aborted • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro is removed but stays in Venezuela • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro goes into exile • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
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Denuclearization talks progress • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%