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What will be the outcome of the Syrian opposition's control by December 31, 2024?
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Travis Pete Timmerman•American•Syria•Sednaya Prison•Christian•Timmerman•Damascus•Assad•Jordan•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full control and recognized government • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Regime reestablished • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and government statements
Story
Travis Timmerman, 29, Found in Syria After Seven Months in Sednaya Prison, Released by Rebels and Flown to Jordan
Dec 13, 2024, 07:05 PM
Travis Pete Timmerman, a 29-year-old American citizen, has been located in Syria after going missing for approximately seven months. He was reportedly imprisoned in Sednaya Prison, a notorious facility, after crossing into Syria illegally on foot while on a Christian pilgrimage. Timmerman was found near Damascus and was released following the recent overthrow of the Assad regime by opposition forces. U.S. military officials confirmed that he was flown out of Syria to Jordan, where he is now in U.S. custody. Reports indicate that Timmerman was treated decently during his imprisonment but could hear other detainees being tortured. His return to safety was coordinated by Syrian opposition forces who handed him over to U.S. military personnel.
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Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Opposition captures other major cities but not Damascus • 25%
Opposition captures Damascus • 25%
Opposition fails to capture any major cities • 25%
Other • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Maintains current control • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Regains full control • 25%
Loses significant territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Regime Change • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Opposition advances into Damascus • 25%
Government retains control with no significant changes • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Rebels establish new government • 25%
International intervention leads to resolution • 25%
International intervention leads to new governance • 25%
Rebel forces take control • 25%
Assad Regime remains in power • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Assad Regime Victory • 25%
Rebel Victory • 25%
Stalemate/Status Quo • 25%
A new coalition government • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
Other • 25%
A remnant of the Assad regime • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%