Market
What will be the outcome of the resolution urging arrest of President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Arrest of Yoon and officials • 25%
No arrests but resignation • 25%
No arrests and no resignation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from South Korean authorities or verified news reports
Story
South Korean Parliament Urges Arrest of President Yoon and 7 Officials, Discusses Snap Election
Dec 10, 2024, 08:11 AM
South Korea's National Assembly has passed a resolution urging the immediate arrest of President Yoon Suk-yeol and seven other officials following a botched martial law declaration on December 3. The resolution, passed on December 10, has led to discussions within the ruling party about potential scenarios to minimize political fallout, including the possibility of Yoon's resignation by the end of April next year, followed by a snap election two months later.
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Other outcome • 25%
President Yoon arrested • 25%
President Yoon not arrested, but investigation continues • 25%
Resolution overturned • 25%
Successfully detained • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Voluntarily surrenders • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Arrest not executed by deadline • 25%
Arrest warrant invalidated • 25%
Arrest executed with PSS interference • 25%
Arrest executed without incident • 25%
Decision Delayed • 34%
Warrant Denied • 33%
Warrant Granted • 33%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Removed from office • 25%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Impeachment initiated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Resignation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Travel ban imposed • 25%