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What will be the outcome of the Qatar-mediated agreement by February 2, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
All hostages released and highway opened • 25%
Some hostages released and highway opened • 25%
No hostages released but highway opened • 25%
No hostages released and highway not opened • 25%
Official announcements from Qatar's Foreign Ministry, Israeli government, and credible news outlets
Story
Qatar Announces Hamas to Release Arbel Yehud and Five Other Hostages Under New Agreement
Jan 26, 2025, 09:46 PM
Qatar's Foreign Ministry announced that an agreement has been reached in which Hamas will release Israeli hostages Arbel Yehud, Agam Berger, and possibly Keith Siegel before Friday. Additionally, Hamas will release three more hostages on Saturday in accordance with the agreement. In exchange, Israel will open the Netzarim highway and allow displaced Palestinians to return.
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Agreement delayed • 25%
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Ceasefire and hostage release agreed • 25%
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Prisoner exchange deal • 25%
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Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
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