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    Qatar Announces Hamas to Release Arbel Yehud and Five Other Hostages Under New Agreement

    Qatar Announces Hamas to Release Arbel Yehud and Five Other Hostages Under New Agreement

    Jan 26, 2025, 09:46 PM

    Qatar's Foreign Ministry announced that an agreement has been reached in which Hamas will release Israeli hostages Arbel Yehud, Agam Berger, and possibly Keith Siegel before Friday. Additionally, Hamas will release three more hostages on Saturday in accordance with the agreement. In exchange, Israel will open the Netzarim highway and allow displaced Palestinians to return.

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    Will Hamas release Arbel Yehud, Agam Berger, and Keith Siegel before January 31, 2025?

    Will Hamas release Arbel Yehud, Agam Berger, and Keith Siegel before January 31, 2025?

    Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Keith Siegel•Israel•Netzarim
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Yes • 50%

    No • 50%

    Official announcements from Qatar's Foreign Ministry or credible news outlets

    Will Hamas release three additional hostages on February 1, 2025?

    Will Hamas release three additional hostages on February 1, 2025?

    Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Keith Siegel•Israel•Netzarim
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Official announcements from Qatar's Foreign Ministry or credible news outlets

    Will Israel open the Netzarim highway by February 1, 2025?

    Will Israel open the Netzarim highway by February 1, 2025?

    Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Keith Siegel•Israel•Netzarim
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    No • 50%

    Yes • 50%

    Official announcements from Israeli government or credible news outlets

    How many hostages will Hamas release by February 2, 2025?

    How many hostages will Hamas release by February 2, 2025?

    Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Keith Siegel•Israel•Netzarim
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    One to two hostages • 25%

    No hostages • 25%

    Six or more hostages • 25%

    Three to five hostages • 25%

    Official announcements from Qatar's Foreign Ministry or credible news outlets

    What will be the international response to the Qatar-mediated agreement by February 5, 2025?

    What will be the international response to the Qatar-mediated agreement by February 5, 2025?

    Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Keith Siegel•Israel•Netzarim
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Mostly criticism • 25%

    Broad support and praise • 25%

    No significant response • 25%

    Mixed reactions • 25%

    Statements from major international organizations or governments reported by credible news outlets

    What will be the outcome of the Qatar-mediated agreement by February 2, 2025?

    What will be the outcome of the Qatar-mediated agreement by February 2, 2025?

    Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Keith Siegel•Israel•Netzarim
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    No hostages released and highway not opened • 25%

    All hostages released and highway opened • 25%

    Some hostages released and highway opened • 25%

    No hostages released but highway opened • 25%

    Official announcements from Qatar's Foreign Ministry, Israeli government, and credible news outlets