Market
What will be the outcome of the German snap election on February 23, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Official election results from the German electoral authorities.
Story
Scholz Requests Confidence Vote, Triggering Snap Election on February 23
Dec 11, 2024, 01:42 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has formally requested a vote of confidence from the Bundestag, setting the stage for a potential snap election in late February. This move comes after the collapse of his coalition government last month. Scholz submitted the petition to Bundestag President Bärbel Bas, with the vote scheduled for December 16. If Scholz loses the vote, it would trigger the dissolution of parliament and pave the way for new elections on February 23, 2025. The process is governed by the German constitution and is seen as an orderly procedure to restore political stability.
View original story
Similar markets
Coalition government formed • 25%
Traditional party wins majority • 25%
Nationalist party wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Current government retains power • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms government • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate from SPD • 25%
Candidate from CDU/CSU • 25%
Alice Weidel (AfD) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%