Market
What will be the outcome of the German federal election on February 23, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Current government retains power • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official election results from the German Federal Returning Officer
Story
Germany to Deliver 6 IRIS-T Systems and 50 Missiles to Ukraine in 2025, Announced at Ramstein Meeting
Jan 9, 2025, 03:21 PM
Germany has committed to bolstering Ukraine's air defense capabilities by supplying additional military aid. Defense Minister Boris Pistorius announced at the Ramstein meeting that Germany will deliver six IRIS-T air defense systems in 2025, along with nearly 50 guided missiles for these systems. Pistorius emphasized that this support will be provided regardless of the outcome of the German federal election scheduled for February 23. The missiles, originally intended for the Bundeswehr, are being redirected directly from production to Ukraine to aid in their defense against Russian air attacks. Additionally, Germany will deploy 200 soldiers and two Patriot air defense systems to Poland for six months to protect a key logistics hub supporting Ukraine.
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Other outcome • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
Alice Weidel (AfD) • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate from SPD • 25%
Candidate from CDU/CSU • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms government • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Nationalist party wins majority • 25%
Traditional party wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other party or coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-led coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
Green Party • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%