Market
Which party will lead if a snap election occurs in Germany on February 23, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%
Official election results announced by the German electoral authorities.
Story
Scholz Requests Confidence Vote, Triggering Snap Election on February 23
Dec 11, 2024, 01:42 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has formally requested a vote of confidence from the Bundestag, setting the stage for a potential snap election in late February. This move comes after the collapse of his coalition government last month. Scholz submitted the petition to Bundestag President Bärbel Bas, with the vote scheduled for December 16. If Scholz loses the vote, it would trigger the dissolution of parliament and pave the way for new elections on February 23, 2025. The process is governed by the German constitution and is seen as an orderly procedure to restore political stability.
View original story
Similar markets
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
Green Party wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU-led • 25%
Other • 25%
Greens-led • 25%
SPD-led • 25%
CDU/CSU-led coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
CDU-led coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
Green-led coalition • 25%
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other party or coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
CDU-led coalition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nationalist party wins majority • 25%
Traditional party wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Alice Weidel (AfD) • 25%
Candidate from CDU/CSU • 25%
Candidate from SPD • 25%
Other • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD • 25%
SPD • 25%
Other • 25%