Market
What will be the outcome of the German federal election on Feb 23, 2024?
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Elon Musk•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Welt am Sonntag•Musk•Germany•Alice Weidel•Sri Lanka•Eva Marie Kogel•German•Jan Philipp Burgard•Welt
Resolution / Starting Odds
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms government • 25%
Official election results from the German Federal Election Commission
Story
Elon Musk Supports AfD in German Op-Ed, Prompting Editor's Resignation Amid Election
Dec 28, 2024, 08:34 PM
Elon Musk has publicly supported the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party in an opinion piece published by the Welt am Sonntag newspaper. In the article, Musk described Germany as being on the brink of economic and cultural collapse, asserting that the AfD represents the 'last spark of hope' for the country. He argued that the portrayal of the AfD as a right-wing extremist party is false, citing the party's leader Alice Weidel's same-sex partnership with someone from Sri Lanka. Musk's endorsement of the AfD has sparked controversy, leading to the resignation of Eva Marie Kogel, the head of the opinion section at Welt am Sonntag, in protest of the publication of Musk's piece. The op-ed was published ahead of Germany's snap federal election scheduled for February 23, where the AfD is currently polling second with around 19% support. Musk justified his involvement in German politics by citing his significant investments in the country. Jan Philipp Burgard, the future editor-in-chief of the Welt group, responded to Musk's piece, agreeing with his diagnosis of Germany's crisis but criticizing his solution of supporting the AfD as 'fatally wrong'.
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Other outcome • 25%
Current government retains power • 25%
Opposition wins majority • 25%
Coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Candidate from CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate from SPD • 25%
Alice Weidel (AfD) • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Greens win majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nationalist party wins majority • 25%
Traditional party wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
No Clear Winner • 25%
Alice Weidel • 25%
Friedrich Merz • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%