Market
What will be the outcome of talks involving Houthis on Gaza support by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or reports from credible news sources
Story
Houthis to Double Military Operations Using Missiles and Drones in Support of Gaza
Dec 1, 2024, 12:38 PM
The Houthi movement in Yemen has announced plans to double its military operations using missiles and drones in support of mujahideen fighters in Gaza and the West Bank. A spokesperson stated that these actions aim to counter Israeli aggression in the Gaza Strip and called for the lifting of the siege on the area. The announcement follows a ballistic missile launch from Yemen.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Postponed • 25%
No implementation • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Hostage death toll increases • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Approved and implemented • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Approved but not implemented • 25%
Deal approved without terrorist release • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal approved with terrorist release • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
