Market
What will be the outcome of ongoing hostage negotiations between Israel and Gaza by June 30, 2025?
2
Israel•Bedouin•Rahat•Gaza Strip•Kibbutz Holit•Gaza•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Shin Bet•Youssef•Bilal•Aisha•Hamza
Resolution / Starting Odds
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Hostage death toll increases • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or international mediators
Story
Bodies of Youssef and Hamza al-Ziyadnah Found in Gaza, 98 Hostages Remain with 36 Confirmed Dead
Jan 8, 2025, 03:44 PM
The bodies of Youssef al-Ziyadnah, 53, and his son Hamza al-Ziyadnah, 22, members of Israel's Bedouin community from Rahat, were discovered in the Gaza Strip, ending the hope of their family for their safe return. The father and son were kidnapped on October 7 while working at Kibbutz Holit. Their bodies were retrieved from an underground space in southern Gaza by the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and Shin Bet. The family was informed of their deaths, and the bodies have been returned to Israel for burial. Youssef's other children, Bilal and Aisha, were previously released in a hostage deal in November 2023. The discovery of Youssef and Hamza's bodies leaves 98 hostages still held, with 36 confirmed dead. Israel's Defense Minister expressed deep condolences to the al-Ziyadnah family, acknowledging the bravery of the IDF soldiers involved in the operation.
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Similar markets
New hostages taken • 25%
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Approved and implemented • 25%
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Rejected • 25%
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Partial release of hostages • 34%
Hostages released • 33%
No agreement reached • 33%
Negotiations continue with no agreement • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Agreement reached and hostages exchanged • 25%
Partial release • 25%
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Successful ceasefire and all hostages released • 25%
Partial agreement with some hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire with Hostage Release • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Hostage Release without Ceasefire • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
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All hostages released • 25%
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