Market
What will be the outcome of Russian withdrawal on Syrian government control by December 31, 2025?
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Russia•Syria•Khmeimim Air Base•Latakia•Russian•Damascus•Khmeimim•Tartus Naval Base•Financial Times•Moscow•Africa
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased government control • 25%
Decreased government control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international observers and Syrian government announcements
Story
Russia Withdraws S-400 System from Khmeimim Air Base in Syria
Dec 13, 2024, 05:26 PM
Russia appears to be withdrawing a significant portion of its military presence from Syria, with satellite imagery and ground reports indicating the relocation of key assets like the S-400 air defense system from Khmeimim Air Base in Latakia. Convoys of Russian military vehicles have been observed moving from various parts of Syria, including Damascus, towards the coastal regions where the main Russian bases are located. This movement suggests a consolidation of forces at Khmeimim and Tartus Naval Base, potentially signaling a strategic withdrawal. The Financial Times has reported that this activity is consistent with a drawdown at Moscow's key air base in Syria. The withdrawal could have implications for Russia's operations in Africa and represents a significant shift in its military strategy in the region.
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