What will be the outcome of Russian military strategy in Syria by December 31, 2025?
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Reinforcement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian Ministry of Defense, reports from credible international news agencies, and analysis from defense think tanks
Russian Forces Evacuate Tartus Naval Base and Khmeimim Air Base Amid Rebel Drone Attacks
Dec 7, 2024, 05:48 PM
The Russian military has initiated a significant withdrawal from its bases in Syria, prompted by fears of rebel drone attacks on ships moored at the Tartus naval base. The Russian Navy has ordered all remaining vessels to depart immediately from Tartus, with reports confirming that the final ships are now leaving the port. Concurrently, satellite imagery and reports indicate that Russian forces are also evacuating from the Khmeimim Air Base in Latakia, with multiple transport aircraft, including three IL-76s and one AN-124, arriving to facilitate the evacuation of personnel and equipment in response to the rapid progress of a rebel offensive in the region, suggesting a strategic retreat by Russian forces from their key eastern Mediterranean holdings.
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No change in military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in military presence • 25%
Decrease in military presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased Rebel Control • 25%
International Intervention • 25%
Increased Russian Control • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Political agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Other • 25%
Destabilizing influence • 25%
Stabilizing influence • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Strengthening of Iranian influence • 25%
Stabilization of Syria • 25%
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Creation of a power vacuum • 25%
Economic Influence • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Security of Bases • 25%
Political Stability • 25%
Bases expanded • 25%
Bases maintained at current levels • 25%
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Unchanged presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
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Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Re-escalation of presence • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No significant withdrawal • 25%
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Maintain presence at one base • 25%
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Maintain presence at both bases • 25%
Russian forces • 25%
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Syrian government forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%